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November 2010

Vol. 15, No. 47 Week of November 21, 2010

RCA hears testimony on CINGSA facility

Utilities present the case for moving ahead with gas storage development as Cook Inlet gas deliverability continues to decline

Alan Bailey

Petroleum News

With possible shortfalls in utility gas deliverability from Alaska’s Cook Inlet basin causing increasing concern in Southcentral Alaska, Cook Inlet Natural Gas Storage Alaska, or CINGSA, has been pushing forward to fast track development of its new gas storage facility on the Kenai Peninsula. And following a request from the company to the Regulatory Commission of Alaska to expedite an application for a certificate of public convenience and necessity for the facility, the commission held a hearing between Nov. 9 and 12 to cross examine witnesses who had submitted testimony documenting the pros and cons of moving ahead with facility development.

CINGSA has said that it needs RCA approval of the facility in December to be able to move ahead with development in time for completion of the facility around April 2012, to head off a projected gas deliverability shortfall in 2012-13 that could trigger electricity power outages during the coldest days of the winter.

A big deal

The development of CINGSA’s storage facility is a big deal, and not just from the perspective of ensuring the continuity of gas supplies by warehousing excess gas produced during the summer for use when gas demand peaks during the winter. The facility represents a near doubling in size of the Alaska operations of Semco Energy, the parent company of both CINGSA and Enstar Natural Gas Co., the main Southcentral Alaska gas utility. And for RCA, this is the first Alaska gas storage operation designed to serve third-party customers and the first that the commission has been asked to regulate — there are other gas storage facilities in the region, but these facilities are all operated privately by gas producers as part of the producers’ arrangements for meeting contractual obligations for gas supplies.

CINGSA, operating as a joint venture between Semco and MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., has signed up three initial third-party customers: Enstar, Chugach Electric Association and Municipal Light & Power. These customers have reserved space in the storage facility’s initial 11 billion cubic feet of storage capacity, with each customer having the right to withdraw a specified portion of the facility’s 150 million cubic feet per day of delivery capacity.

$180 million

CINGSA has estimated the total construction cost of the facility to be $180 million, with that cost ultimately being recovered from the usage rates that it will charge its customers, and with the facility customers in turn passing the storage fees onto Southcentral electricity and gas consumers, as part of electricity and gas rates. In testimony to RCA Mark Slaughter, manager of gas supply for Enstar, the facility’s largest prospective customer, said that use of the storage facility might on average add about 70 cents per thousand cubic feet to the cost of the gas that Enstar delivers.

Normally RCA would review and, if appropriate, approve both the facility certificate and the facility tariff, including the usage rates, as a complete package. However, in response to a request from CINGSA, the commission has split the approval process, dealing with the facility certification by early December, to enable facility construction to proceed, and then dealing with the tariff in January in a separate hearing.

So, with the Nov. 9-12 hearing dealing primarily with facility certification, much of the testimony and cross examination focused on whether the facility is needed and on whether CINGSA is a credible facility developer and operator. And, although one intervener in the hearing raised safety concerns about the facility site, most organizations involved in the hearing supported CINGSA and its plans.

Enstar: urgent need

Slaughter expressed Enstar’s urgent need for gas storage. In January 2009, when Anchorage temperatures dropped to minus 15 degrees F, Enstar’s gas delivery peaked at a rate of 235 million cubic feet per day, Slaughter said in his testimony to the commission. But, while demand for gas has been slowly rising since then, Enstar has not secured under contract all of the gas needed to meet peak winter demand after the beginning of 2011. Enstar forecasts potential peak winter demand to climb from 276 million to 298 million cubic feet per day between 2011 and 2015, with the utility’s shortfall in contracted supplies rising from 33 million cubic feet to 157 million cubic feet on peak days during that same period, Slaughter said.

“If the proposed CINGSA storage facility is completed and it operates as designed, the use of services from that facility is projected to meet 100 percent of the projected deliverability shortfall in the fourth quarter of 2012 and throughout 2013,” Slaughter said. “CINGSA’s facility is thus critical to meeting the needs of Enstar’s customers beginning in the winter of 2012-13 and thereafter.”

In the absence of sufficient gas storage, Enstar will have to meet any gas supply shortfall by trying to purchase additional gas through what are termed “non-firm contracts,” contracts in which the gas producer is under no obligation to supply gas, Slaughter explained.

Other storage uses

And, although the use of gas storage is particularly critical to meeting the needs of peak gas demand, Enstar also anticipates using the CINGSA facility to store summer-purchased gas to help support the more routine “base load” winter demand, Slaughter said.

If RCA approves the CINGSA facility, Enstar will seek new gas supply contracts that involve a relatively constant year-round rate of supply, with attractive pricing for these steady gas supplies perhaps offsetting the cost to customers of the gas storage usage, Slaughter said.

In fact, in the absence of gas storage, the extreme swing in Enstar’s gas needs between summer and winter now make the negotiation of new gas supply contracts very difficult, given the technical problems associated with the temporary shutting in of wells in the Cook Inlet’s aging gas fields during the summer, he said.

And other future possibilities for obtaining Southcentral utility gas, such as the import of liquefied natural gas or the construction of a gas line from the North Slope, will also require the use of gas storage to accommodate the steady delivery of gas into the region throughout the year, or perhaps to take periodic deliveries from LNG carriers, Slaughter said.

Chugach’s needs

As well as needing the CINGSA storage facility to help with gas supplies during periods of high winter demand, Chugach Electric Association needs the facility for contingency support during periods when there are gas supply problems, and to support short-term fluctuations in power demand, said Lee Thibert, CEA senior vice president, strategic planning and corporate affairs, in testimony to RCA. CEA generates 90 percent of its power from gas-fired power stations.

If the gas storage facility does not go into operation Chugach would have to seek additional gas deliverability from gas producers or, failing that, take alternative measures such as curtailing some energy sales, using liquid fuels to replace some gas, or perhaps buying some power from Golden Valley Electric Association in Fairbanks, Thibert said.

“At this time there is no substitute for a reliable supply of natural gas,” he said. “Without it, Chugach cannot supply the needs of its members. … Losing the ability to meet peak gas demand could cause Chugach to seek other alternatives, ask customers to voluntarily reduce demand or, as a last resort, curtail demand on a rotating basis.”

After 2012

Under its current gas supply contractual arrangements CEA will need gas storage services to meet peak demand after 2012, Thibert said. And the use of the CINGSA facility is the most cost effective of the possible options that CEA has investigated to address the pending peak gas deliverability shortfall, he said.

Like Enstar, CEA anticipates the CINGSA facility providing a means of buying gas at a relatively constant rate year round, an arrangement that ought to hold down the price of gas while, by stabilizing well flow rates, enabling gas producers to maximize ultimate gas production.

Brian Davies, a gas-supply consultant for Municipal Light & Power, presented testimony about the ML&P need for gas storage services. ML&P is a co-owner of the Beluga gas field on the west side of the Cook Inlet, with the Beluga field being the primary source of fuel for the gas-fired power generation that accounts for 87 percent of the utility’s generation capacity, Davies explained. The utility does have the capability to fall back on the use of diesel fuel rather than gas on an emergency basis, but this mode of power generation is very expensive, he said.

Declining Beluga gas

Although until recently gas supplies from the Beluga field have proved adequate to meet ML&P’s needs, steadily declining production from the field is causing the utility to have to purchase some gas from elsewhere to meet peak power demand in the winter: This need for peaking gas will grow, probably starting in the winter of 2012-13, Davies said.

“This peaking gas is quite expensive now, and threatens to become more expensive and even unavailable within a few years,” Davies said.

ML&P is participating in the construction of a modern, efficient gas-fired power plant in Anchorage that should come into operation in 2012, he said. But, even with improved fuel efficiency at this plant, the utility will need to be able to withdraw up to 10 million cubic feet of gas per day from the CINGSA facility, to cover winter peak demand and to allow some contingency for unanticipated problems with gas supply or power generation equipment, Davies said.





Grappling with gas delivery from storage

An important factor for Cook Inlet Natural Gas Alaska’s planned new gas storage facility on the Kenai Peninsula is the ability of the Southcentral Alaska gas pipeline infrastructure to ship gas at a fast enough rate from the facility to wherever the gas is needed during periods of peak demand.

On the assumption that upgrades to the network will be required to achieve the necessary gas transmission speeds, the state Attorney General’s Regulatory Affairs and Public Advocacy Section has raised the question of what it refers to as “induced infrastructure costs,” the infrastructure upgrade costs that the CINGSA facility might trigger and that would end up being rolled into the rates that consumers would be charged for gas and electricity.

RAPA raised the question of induced costs during a recent Regulatory Commission of Alaska hearing into approval of the CINGSA facility.

The CINGSA facility would hook into the Marathon operated Kenai Nikiski pipeline near the city of Kenai, with that pipeline delivering gas into Enstar pipelines either at Nikiski to the north or at a pipeline hub to the south. Apparently there is ample spare capacity on the Kenai Nikiski pipeline to meet the needs of the CINGSA facility, with the main potential bottleneck being the shipping of gas through an Enstar dual pipeline that runs north to Anchorage through the northern Kenai Peninsula.

In testimony to the RCA hearing on certification for the CINGSA facility Mark Slaughter, manager of gas supply for Enstar, said that Enstar will probably have to add compressors to the dual pipeline at an estimated cost of $8 million to $10 million, to accommodate the CINGSA gas. And during cross examination on Nov. 10 Slaughter said that these compressors could lift capacity on the line to 240 million cubic feet per day, with perhaps another $10 million to $20 million required were it to prove necessary to upgrade the line to its theoretical maximum daily throughput of 285 million cubic feet.

The anticipated maximum output from the CINGSA facility is 150 million cubic feet per day, but the Enstar pipelines also need to be able to handle utility gas from producing gas fields on the east side of Cook Inlet.

Enstar’s other gas artery into Anchorage and the Matanuska and Susitna valleys is a pipeline running north from the west side of Cook Inlet. Transferring gas from the CINGSA facility to that pipeline would involve moving gas east to west under Cook Inlet though a pipeline system called the Cook Inlet Gas Gathering System, or CIGGS. But CIGGS is currently configured to only carry gas west to east, although companies involved in the Cook Inlet gas industry have been discussing the future possibility of bidirectional flow through the system.

The modification of CIGGS for bidirectional flow to accommodate CINGSA gas would be technically straightforward and less expensive than upgrading the Enstar line north from the Kenai Peninsula, Slaughter said. However, there are commercial hurdles associated with current CIGGS contractual arrangements for moving gas west to east, he said.

—Alan Bailey

Questions over potential gas storage leaks

In a Regulatory Commission of Alaska hearing over certification of a new underground gas storage facility on the south side of the city of Kenai some testimony and much cross-examination time was devoted to discussions of whether the facility would securely store gas, or whether there would be a possibility of gas leaking, either to some undesired underground location or perhaps to the surface.

Cook Inlet Natural Gas Alaska, or CINGSA, plans to bring the new facility on line in 2012, using a depleted gas reservoir in the Sterling C sands of the Cannery Loop gas field. Regulatory oversight of the integrity of the Sterling C sands as a storage reservoir is primarily the responsibility of the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission and the question of potential leakage from CINGSA’s planned facility was extensively discussed during a recent AOGCC hearing.

However, the question of gas leakage is also of interest to RCA because any costs resulting from the loss of gas or from the impact of gas leakage on storage facility operations would likely be passed on to the consumers of Southcentral Alaska utility gas.

Vincent Goddard, president of Inlet Fish Producers of Kenai, whose business facilities sit over part of the proposed Sterling C storage reservoir, has been relentlessly raising questions over the physical integrity of the planned storage reservoir, saying that the possibility of the leakage of gas from the reservoir to the surface poses a significant safety risk to his businesses and to local residents.

In particular, several old gas wells in the area, most of them accessing gas sands in the Beluga formation below the Sterling C sands, penetrate the Sterling C reservoir. These wells were plugged and abandoned years ago and could act as conduits for gas to leak from the storage reservoir, Goddard and some technical experts he has called on as witnesses have claimed. CINGSA needs to remediate all of the wells that penetrate the reservoir before starting construction of the storage facility, said one of Goddard’s witnesses, John Robertson, a professional engineer with 25 years of experience in evaluating oil, gas and mining projects.

CINGSA, following its own research into the integrity of its planned storage reservoir, has committed to remediate one of the old wells but has said that an engineering evaluation of the other wells has indicated no potential for leakage.

Pressure history

Tom Walsh, a managing partner of Petrotechnical Resources of Alaska, the company that is the primary subsurface consultant for CINGSA, said in testimony to RCA that the pressure history of gas in the Sterling C sands before and during gas production from the sands, as part of the Cannery Loop gas-field operations, had unequivocally indicated no migration of gas in or out of the sands, thus demonstrating the excellent integrity of the Sterling C reservoir. And CINGSA does not plan to raise the underground gas pressure above the natural gas pressure that existed in the reservoir for perhaps millions of years before the Sterling C sand was produced.

“There is no risk of gas escaping to the surface,” Walsh told the commissioners during cross examination on Nov. 12.

Richard Gentges, CINGSA project manager and a gas storage reservoir engineer with 29 years of experience, told the commission that the possibility of gas migration from the Sterling C reservoir was extremely remote and that CINGSA had conducted a detailed engineering evaluation of all wells that penetrate the reservoir.

—Alan Bailey

Setting a storage rate for the CINGSA facility

The Regulatory Commission of Alaska is currently considering whether to approve a new gas storage facility that Cook Inlet Natural Gas Storage Alaska, or CINGSA, wants to build on the Kenai Peninsula. But, although the commission is not going to consider approval of a tariff and associated usage rates for the facility until January, testimony regarding rate setting for the facility did appear in a recent public hearing over facility certification.

With the CINGSA facility being the first regulated gas storage operation in Alaska, commissioners expressed concerns during the hearing about how CINGSA will determine the fees that it charges its gas storage customers. Commissioners questioned a proposal to initially use what CINGSA terms an “inception rate,” where fees are based on estimates of facility construction costs; estimates of the cost of debt incurred to finance the construction; and estimates of facility operation and maintenance costs. CINGSA proposes to revise its initial fees after one complete year of facility operation, using actual construction, debt and operational costs. After five years of operation CINGSA would submit a complete, revised tariff to RCA for approval, using information gleaned from experience of operating the facility.

Key cost components used to determine usage fees will be the rate of return that CINGSA expects on the capital that it invests in the storage project, the manner in which the value of the facility is depreciated and the rate of interest paid on the financing of the storage project. CINGSA has indicated that, as a joint venture between Semco Energy and MidAmerican Holdings, interest on debt will likely be relatively high, reflecting the risks associated with the joint venture and its customers rather than the risk profiles of CINGSA’s parent corporations.

—Alan Bailey


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