‘Dirty oil’ gets an airing U.S.-Canada panel says U.S. reliance on oil sands feeds ‘destructive’ habit if refineries continue with expansions, conversions Gary Park For Petroleum News
United States refiners are ready to spend $53 billion to expand or convert their facilities to handle an extra 2 million barrels per day of oil sands-derived crude at the same time environmental groups are warning of “catastrophic” impacts from the growing reliance on the Alberta resource.
“This enormous (refinery) investment represents an entrenched commitment to perpetuating U.S. reliance on oil as our primary source of energy into the next generation and beyond,” said a joint study by the U.S.-based Environmental Integrity Project and Environmental Defense Canada.
The study said the reliance will be based on “Canadian tar sands (and perhaps U.S. shale oil) — even dirtier and more destructive sources of oil than conventional crude oil.”
Environmental Integrity Project Director Eric Schaeffer told a conference call “it is hard to imagine what else it is that the U.S. oil industry could do to go backwards further and faster than to rely on Canadian tar sands or similar resources in the United States.”
“Not only would this mean significantly more pollution overall, but it would substantially boost the greenhouse gas emissions linked to global warming,” he said.
“When we talk about, we’re talking about reducing reliance and moving away from it. We know that takes time.
“But those first steps start with an awareness of what it means to get your oil from the oil sands. This is a very intensely wasteful way of feeding the oil habit.”
However, Schaeffer conceded that attempting to halt oil sands production isn’t possible.
Matt Price of Environmental Defense Canada said carbon capture and storage could achieve significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, but he criticized the pace at which government and industry was moving that direction.
“The timelines for implementation are far, far too long,” he said.
Regulations being developed The Canadian government is developing regulations requiring oil sands projects that come on-stream after 2012 to lower their GHGs by 2018 through technology, such as carbon capture and storage.
The joint study, relying on data from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency permitting processes, estimated that of the 1.6 million bpd of increased refining capacity planned for the U.S., 1.1 million bpd of which is designed to handle oil sands output. Another 827,000 bpd of existing conventional capacity is being modified to handle crude from the oil sands.
Pierre Alvarez, president of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, refused to get drawn into speculating on what the upcoming U.S. elections will mean for the oil sands, given the concerns expressed by Barack Obama about the growing role of the oil sands in the U.S. energy equation.
But Alvarez said there is no doubt the “global barrel is getting heavier.”
The impact of high oil prices has put energy back on the political radar after a long absence and Canada will figure in the debate “no question,” he said.
“I don’t think anybody denies that environmental performance needs to continue improving,” Alvarez said.
Before the study was released, he told a Reuters Global Energy Summit that carbon capture and storage, while important, is “only one of a number of things that have to be approached.”
He said options such as nuclear and geothermal power have enter the debate, assuming carbon capture and storage can achieve its goal of reducing GHGs by 70 percent by 2050 in Canada.
Price said he expects the next U.S. administration will move to a “low carbon fuel standard” that could penalize oil sands imports.
“Regardless of who wins in November, there will be a major shift in the status quo,” he said.
Brenda Kenny, the incoming director of the Canadian Energy Pipeline Association, doubts the U.S. election will see major changes on either side of the 49th parallel, with Canadian supplies remaining the center point of Canada-U.S. trade.
To suggest Washington might go cold turkey on Canadian oil is “far-fetched,” she said.
Cindy Schild, refinery issues manager with the American Petroleum Institute, said the Canadian government has assured U.S. officials that the oil sands sector is serious about lowering its GHGs, which is consistent with petroleum industry support for climate-change legislation.
Total: crude supply concerns The spreading unease over the oil sands was reflected in comments June 4 by Christophe de Margerie, chief executive officer of France’s Total, who warned that tougher environmental measures for the resource would contribute to a global crude supply shortage.
Total has earmarked up to $15 billion in spending over the next 10 years to boost its oil sands production to 500,000 bpd, starting with the Joslyn project in 2013.
De Margerie said that although Alberta was “considered the most cowboyish” among oil producing regions in the past, that has changed now that Alberta and Canada have started to tighten environmental regulations.
Helge Lund, chief executive officer of Norway’s StatoilHydro — like Total, a new arrival in the oil sands with big ambitions — told Reuters he believes the answer to tapping new, unconventional energy sources is to establish a common price for carbon dioxide emissions and “the market will find the most efficient solution quickly.”
He said the question is not whether there will be exploitation of unconventional resources that are more energy-intensive to exploit but whether the industry can “develop them as efficiently as possible
Cost of cutting GHCs high But the global cost of cutting GHGs in half by 2050 would add $45 trillion to energy bills, International Energy Agency analyst Peter Taylor told a climate conference in Germany June 4.
“It implies a completely different energy system,” he said, suggesting hydropower and wind power would have to reach close to 50 percent of all power production, compared with 18 percent today.
The IEA identified 17 key technologies needed to attain the 2050 goal, including carbon capture and storage on the supply side and the adoption of little-tested hydrogen fuel cell technologies on the demand side.
However, even halving GHGs by mid-century would still leave carbon dioxide emissions above the safe level identified by the European Union and a United Nations panel of climate scientists.
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