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Providing coverage of Alaska and northern Canada's oil and gas industry
April 2011

Vol. 16, No. 16 Week of April 17, 2011

Oil tax bill appears dead in Senate

ConocoPhillips’ Mulva urges passage, highlights possible projects; Senate president says body not ‘do nothing’; more work needed

Kristen Nelson

Petroleum News

If the governor’s oil tax bill wasn’t dead before then, Senate President Gary Stevens nailed the coffin lid down when he took to the floor of the Senate April 11 to defend the Senate against the governor’s “do-nothing Senate” tag. Stevens said that since the Senate had accomplished a number of things, the governor must be referring to the body’s failure to pass the oil tax bill and said while he would not accept the do-nothing description, he would accept the charge that the Senate would do nothing to harm the people of Alaska.

He said there were parts of the governor’s bill — reduced progressivity at the high end and bracketed tax rates — that he thinks should be looked out, but said time was needed for adequate study of the results of the governor’s proposal.

Stevens also said that reports the Legislature has ordered wouldn’t be available before the end of session on April 17.

The bill passed the House at the end of March, but so far has only had a hearing in Senate Labor and Commerce. Senate Resources did hold some hearings on the Senate version of the governor’s bill, but Stevens, who sits on the Resources Committee, has said in the past that he didn’t think there were the votes needed to move the bill from the committee.

As the Alaska Legislature rolled toward adjournment, proponents of the bill brought out the big guns.

Jim Mulva, chairman CEO of ConocoPhillips, joined former Alaska Gov. Tony Knowles at a Make Alaska Competitive Coalition presentation April 7 at a Resource Development Council breakfast meeting. The coalition scheduled BP Exploration (Alaska) president John Minge to address a noontime crowd April 14.

Partnership urged

Knowles urged partnership between the state and industry and said he had worked across party lines and with industry during low oil prices and low state revenues in the late 1990s to make tax changes to provide incentives for more drilling. Those policy changes and the resulting investments from the oil companies succeeded in putting more oil in the pipeline and inspired ARCO’s slogan of “no decline after ’99,” Knowles said

Today, he said, Alaska North Slope production is declining; easy oil, in the state’s older fields, is gone; and production is going to cost more. Knowles cited exploration as “the most important bellwether” of future production and reminded the audience that only one North Slope exploration well is being drilled this year.

And while the oil price is high today — and along with it the state’s revenues — he said “the issue is not about today’s prosperity but what we are doing today to ensure tomorrow’s prosperity.”

Knowles said Alaska knows the formula for change: “Tough, fair negotiations; commitments by both sides; an attitude of mutual respect guided by trust but verify; a tax system that provides balanced returns and fair incentives to both new and legacy fields; and opening state and federal exploration areas.”

New investments key

Mulva said he had three key messages: “new investments are the key to a sustainable future for Alaska”; the state is at a crossroads and the time is now for the industry and Alaska to align around a common goal of increasing production; and third, “ConocoPhillips remains committed to advancing major projects and activities here, if Alaska’s business environment is improved.”

Huge resources remain on Alaska’s North Slope as well as offshore, “but they cost a lot more to develop and they carry a great deal more risk — technical risk — than the oil fields that have been discovered in the past,” Mulva said.

Industry investments in recent years have been unable to stop the production decline, partly because more and more of those investments are required to maintain and operate the North Slope’s older pipelines and facilities “and not on developing new oil,” he said. Those investments are being made because with new technology the lives of existing fields can be extended and more oil produced than the companies ever thought, but it requires “a great deal of money.”

But Alaska can’t continue to live off past investments, many of them made years ago when, Mulva said, the state’s fiscal policy was more balanced.

The Alaska business environment has deteriorated over the past several years, he said: “We face increased litigation, numerous roadblocks with federal permits, tax pressure with the highest progressivity, progressivity surcharge of any OECD country. As a result, Alaska is not attracting as much investment as it should during periods of strong oil prices.”

What investments

If there were changes to the production tax structure, what investments would ConocoPhillips make?

Short-term commitments the company could make include the Prudhoe Bay I pad gas partial processing plant which would cost $1.5-$2 billion, involve about 50 wells and additional facilities, and would lead to incremental Prudhoe Bay production.

There are also identified satellite projects the company would pursue, both for West Sak development at Kuparuk and for development of additional satellites already identified at Alpine.

“We’re willing to commit billions of dollars in investment, commit our technology and our people,” Mulva said. “So let’s step back, let’s develop the incentives, let’s work together because we want to do this again for the next 50 years.”





Senate committee focuses on employment

Job loss in Alaska’s oil and gas industry has been widely cited by those promoting Gov. Sean Parnell’s oil tax reduction bill. The premise behind the bill is that tax increases in 2006 and 2007 made Alaska less competitive for oil industry investment, reducing jobs in Alaska’s oil patch.

The Senate Labor and Commerce Committee, the first referral for House Bill 110 in that body, has focused its discussion on employment and Alaska hire issues.

HB 110 passed the House at the end of March; as of April 13, the committee had heard the bill twice, on both occasions taking testimony from Commissioner Click Bishop and economist Neal Fried of the Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development.

Bishop noted increasing employment on the North Slope beginning in 2006, when there was a significant spill on the North Slope, and said that some of the increase in numbers can be attributed to spill-related work.

Department numbers show that in 2005, North Slope Borough oil and gas industry employment stood at 5,191; that number rose to 6,295 in 2006 and has increased every year thereafter, to 8,429 in 2009, the last year for which NSB oil and gas employment figures are available.

Statewide, oil and gas industry employment has risen from 8,800 in 2000 to 12,800 in 2010 (preliminary figures).

Reports of job losses

There have been numerous reports of decreases in North Slope oil and gas industry jobs since the passage of tax increases in 2006 and 2007, and Bishop said part of the reason there were job losses at some firms coupled with an overall employment rise is that firms doing pipeline and well related work have suffered. He cited one Fairbanks firm with a drop of more than 50 percent in employees from 2009 to 2010 and another reporting a 50 percent drop in employees in the same period.

Fried discussed unemployment claims for all oil industry jobs — separated into extraction, drilling support and operations support.

Unemployment claims increased from 1,561 in 2000 to 2,708 in 2009, and dropped in 2010 to 2,540. In the data Bishop and Fried presented, oil and gas industry unemployment claims hit a low of 904 in 2006 and then rose steadily through 2009.

Fried said both employment and unemployment claims increased and said part of the explanation was that employment numbers are annual averages. In 2009, he said, employment peaked at almost 13,500 in the first quarter, but by November had dropped by 1,500, with much of the increase in unemployment claimants coming at the end of the year.

The other thing that happened in 2009, Fried said, was that for the first time in 21 years the state’s overall employment dropped. And the job market changed — after a decade of employers concerned about finding enough workers, suddenly workers were concerned about finding a job, so if you lost your job in 2009 it was probably more difficult to be rehired.

By the first quarter of 2010 oil industry employment had recovered and the number of claimants dropped slightly in 2010, although across all industries in the state unemployment claimants rose from 2009 to 2010.

The nonresident issue

The committee had a lot of questions about the percent of nonresident NSB oil and gas workers — 32.5 percent in 2000 and 35 percent in 2009, the most recent year for which nonresident figures are available.

Sen. Joe Paskvan, D-Fairbanks, said new hires broken out by resident and nonresident in the April issue of “Alaska Economic Trends” show 47.7 percent of new hires in the oil and gas industry in the third quarter of 2010 as nonresidents. He told Bishop that was troubling to him when people in his area aren’t working and asked if there weren’t competent experienced Alaskans who could do the work.

Bishop said he is working with employers on training and apprenticeship programs.

He noted that requiring Alaska hire has been found unconstitutional, but said he is pushing apprenticeship where it works and said while there are training gaps for jobs in the industry, the department is working on training.

Bishop said he is also meeting with companies on Alaska hire and training for their jobs in the state.

—Kristen Nelson


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