Hurricanes destroyed or severely damaged nine jack-up rigs this year on the Gulf of Mexico’s continental shelf, causing day rates on new contracts for healthy rigs to soar more than 50 percent on average in the storms’ aftermath, according to offshore drilling contractors.
The double whammy of Katrina and Rita added gasoline to an already intense fire, coming at a time of exceptionally high rig demand worldwide and escalating offshore day rates. But contractors are not sobbing over their losses in the Gulf.
Gulf rates for jack-ups have climbed from $70,000-$80,000 per day pre-storms to $105,000 per day and on up to $120,000 per day for a 300-foot jack-up. Premium jack-ups are said to be fetching $130,000 a day and more on new contracts.
“On the jack-up side, the loss of rigs due to hurricanes has strengthened an already very good market,” Robert Long, chief executive officer of big offshore drilling company Transocean, told analysts in a November conference call.
Rowan hardest hit
Deep-shelf driller Rowan, among the hardest hit with four jack-ups destroyed and another heavily damaged, expects to quickly recover its $290,000 per day in hurricane losses through insurance and the higher rates on new contracts.
With contracts on 11 of Rowan’s healthy jack-ups rolling over before year-end, the company thus far has moved rates to a combined $500,000 a day, helping to offset losses due to hurricanes. Moreover, new Rowan land rigs scheduled to come into service next June should bring another $225,000 in daily revenue, further helping to cover losses.
“We lost a total of five rigs to the hurricanes and everyone got real upset about that fact,” Rowan chief executive Danny McNease recalled. “But I can tell you one thing: we came together as a team and figured out how we were going to get out of this deal. The way the market tightened up made it very easy to work our way through this.”
Jack-ups leaving Gulf
In fact, the worldwide supply of jack-up rigs is so tight that Rowan and others are urging exploration and production companies to secure longer term drilling contracts in the Gulf, or face the possibility of more jack-ups leaving the shelf on more lengthy and lucrative deals abroad.
More than 23 jack-ups departed the Gulf for other markets pre-storms, leaving a scant fleet of around 77 working rigs when subtracting cold stacks and the nine jack-ups destroyed or damaged in the hurricanes.
“We believe operators in the Gulf of Mexico are waking up to the fact that this is a serious situation,” Rowan’s McNease said. “But the scary thing is what people are going to do in the Gulf for equipment to do their work.”
With an extraordinarily high 1,130 shelf leases expiring over the next three years, Rowan also is urging smaller E&P independents to share rigs on long-term contracts of a year or more, just like they have been doing in the North Sea. Not only would sharing rigs provide independents with the equipment to drill their own prospects, Rowan believes, but it would give them access to expiring leases on the shelf owned by companies without rig contracts.
“They can leverage themselves into deals, just like they did back in the ‘70s,” McNease said. “The drilling rig will not only become an asset to a contractor, but become an asset to an operator.”
Interest in building new deepwater rigs
Global competition for jack-ups is so intense that in the North Sea alone, as many as 250 rig months of “unsatisfied demand” in 2006 will have to be moved to 2007, said Roger Hunt, GlobleSantaFe’s senior vice president of marketing.
“Given the strong outlook for 2007, we expect (daily) prices for standard jack-ups to be in excess of $150,000,” he said.
Meanwhile, an already warming deepwater rig market has turned red hot, with premium floaters in the Gulf commanding day rates of around $475,000 with no rate cap in sight. Drillers also are reporting significant interest from clients wanting to extend deepwater drilling contracts out to 2010 and beyond.
More surprising, customers are beginning to express interest in building new deepwater rigs. “This is a relatively new development in the market,” Transocean’s Long noted.