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August 2001

Vol. 6, No. 8 Week of August 28, 2001

Conoco boss fights for development of Mackenzie Delta gas

Dunham gives top priority to newly acquired Arctic properties; plans to use high-level Washington “friends” to accelerate pipeline schedule

Gary Park

PNA Canadian Correspondent

Conoco Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Archie Dunham counts George W. Bush and Dick Cheney among his friends and figures that will help his company speed up development of its newly acquired natural gas properties in the Mackenzie Delta. (Conoco pulled out of Alaska in 1993 after filing suit against the trans-Alaska pipeline owners for their tariff policies. Dunham was number two man at Conoco at that time.)

Prior to a pep talk for the 1,200 former Gulf Canada Resources’ employees, who are now in the Conoco fold following a C$9.8 billion takeover, Dunham declared the Delta is “very, very important to us — priority No. 1 for (Conoco Canada).”

He set an ambitious target of slashing “at least two years” from the current timetable of five to eight years for delivering Delta gas to market. “I think if we could do it in four to six years, that would be good.”

Wants no aboriginal ownership

Mindful of the widely held view that the North Slope consortium of BP, ExxonMobil and Phillips Petroleum is seen as better positioned than the Delta producers (Imperial Oil, Shell Canada, ExxonMobil Canada and Conoco Canada) to get its project up and running first, Dunham delivered a tough line on two issues.

• He will use his high-level connections to push for the inclusion of Delta gas in any pipeline out of the Arctic.

• Canada’s aboriginal communities can forget about 100 percent ownership of a pipeline.

Claims ties with Knowles, Canadian leaders

In addition to being a key fundraiser for Bush and a long-time friend of Cheney, Dunham claims strong ties with Canada’s federal and provincial leaders and with Alaska Gov. Tony Knowles, a fellow native Oklahoman.

“We are going to use all those relationships to try and accelerate the pipeline schedule,” he said. “I think there is going to be room for compromise. It’s going to be a political issue. It will be settled politically and the producers are going to be very supportive,” he said.

“We’re going to be able to put together a project that will be good for Alaska, good for the United States, good for Canada, good for Alberta, good for aboriginal people and good for environmentalists.”

Mackenzie gas must go first

Henry Sykes, the newly appointed president of Conoco Canada, urged the Canadian government to more actively promote the Mackenzie Valley route.

“I think at some point the federal government will have to come on board and say that Canada is best served by a pipeline from the Mackenzie Delta,” he said.

Dunham said he can’t “imagine a politician in Canada agreeing to a pipeline route that did not include Mackenzie Delta gas — Canadian gas production,” indicating he is not fazed by vehement opposition from Alaska and the Yukon to any pipeline under the Beaufort Sea.

“With a portfolio this important to all kinds of economic issues in Canada, it’s only logical that whatever route is chosen, it has to include Mackenzie Delta gas,” he said.

While stopping short of giving unqualified backing for an “over-the-top” route, Dunham said he has had recent talks with Knowles.

“I don’t think any route is dead,” he said. “I think we’re in the talking stage; we’re in the negotiating stage. Long term, we need multiple pipelines to the south.”

He said his Houston-based company wants to become “significantly more involved” in discussions and negotiations on the feasibility of developing Delta gas.

“Our sole interest right now is going to be Canada and the Mackenzie Delta, so we have no potential conflict of interest around choosing this route versus another route,” he said. “We are going to have a greater sense of urgency (to develop) the Delta perhaps than some of the other producer.”

Exxon against faster schedule for Delta

While ExxonMobil and Imperial Oil, its 69.6 percent-owned Canadian subsidiary, have rejected talk that they are at odds over the timing of North Slope and Delta development, many analysts insist that conflict is unavoidable, with some suggesting the Delta is bound to trail Alaska in coming on stream.

An Imperial spokesman dismissed talk of conflict with the parent company, saying Imperial operates independently.

“Certainly we review our plans, including the Mackenzie Delta plans, with our major shareholder, but they have always been supportive of our plans and activities regarding the Mackenzie Delta feasibility study,” he said.

The spokesman welcomed Dunham’s “energy and enthusiasm,” but cautioned it would be a daunting task to accelerate the schedule for Delta development given that the “political and socio-economic challenges are just as complicated as the technical side.”

He said a project of such scale “has never been done before and I think we need to recognize you need to move forward at a measured pace. I think we’re moving as quickly and aggressively as we need to.”

Conoco wants ownership in line

Others have argued that there would not be sufficient financing, construction workers or materials to develop both basins simultaneously, with separate pipelines along the Alaska Highway and the Mackenzie Valley. That, in turn, has raised fears that Delta gas could be stranded indefinitely.

Compounding the Delta worries is dissension among aboriginal organizations over how much Native ownership of a pipeline is feasible and desirable.

On that issue, Dunham was emphatic that 100 percent aboriginal ownership, as proposed by Houston-based Arctic Resources, is out of the question.

“We’re going to have ownership of the pipeline,” he said, recalling that Conoco, about a decade ago, doubted it could get full value for its Alaska resources because it didn’t hold an equity position in the trans-Alaska pipeline system.

“The owners of the pipeline, by adjusting the tariffs on the pipeline, could really diminish the value of the producing properties and that’s not going to happen again,” he said.

However, aboriginal leaders in the Northwest Territories have been emphatic that no pipeline right of way will be approved through their lands without a aboriginal equity stake in the pipeline — whether that is 100 percent or 33 percent.

A spokesman for the Sahtu First Nation, which wants full Native ownership, reacted calmly to Dunham’s hard line, suggesting “it’s only a bargaining position.”





Pipeline transportation costs major issue for Conoco in Alaska

Petroleum News Alaska

Conoco drilled the first exploration well at its Milne Point field in the winter of 1979-1980.

When Conoco was exploring and making the decision to proceed with development at the North Slope field, oil prices were in the $30-35 per barrel range, and were forecasted to continue to increase. At those prices, a small development of 30,000 barrels per day was economically feasible on the North Slope.

Production at Milne Point started up in November 1985.

In early 1986 the price of crude fell to less than $15 per barrel. During one month, the net wellhead price (West Coast delivered price less all the transportation tariffs) at the field was negative.

Conoco shut down the Milne Point field in November 1986.

A former Conoco executive in Alaska told PNA that when production was started back up almost three years later, it was “obvious to the Anchorage office, given the price of oil in the $20 per barrel range, that a field of 30,000 barrels per day would not be economic.

“The fixed costs were so high on the North Slope that it would take more barrels per day to reduce the fixed cost per barrel so that the field could be profitable,” he said.

Conoco’s Anchorage office developed a plan to increase Milne Point’s production to 50,000 barrels per day, which would also require significant capital expenditures.

Conoco management in Houston decided that they were unwilling to invest any more capital in Alaska, so Milne Point was traded to BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. for a part interest in a Gulf of Mexico platform in late 1993.

“Transportation costs and access to transportation out of Valdez on independent tankers were real issues for Conoco in Alaska,” the former Conoco executive told PNA.

He said the company “was involved in several legislative issues (with Tesoro) to assure the right for independent tankers to be able to have access to the Valdez terminal.”

Conoco, along with Tesoro and Mapco, also brought suit against the trans-Alaska pipeline owners regarding their tariff policies. (Conoco did not have an interest in the trans-Alaska pipeline.)

The lawsuit was eventually settled in Conoco’s favor, but that occurred after the company had decided to leave Alaska.


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