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Providing coverage of Alaska and northern Canada's oil and gas industry
November 2003

Vol. 8, No. 45 Week of November 09, 2003

Forest bullish on Alaska

Company’s new Alaska head sees growth opportunities for Forest in Alaska

Kristen Nelson

Petroleum News Editor-in-Chief

Despite disappointing production results from the Redoubt Shoal field in Cook Inlet, Forest Oil is looking for growth opportunities into Alaska.

“Forest is bullish on Alaska,” the company’s new senior vice president for Alaska operations, Leonard Gurule, told Petroleum News Oct. 27.

Forest said Sept. 24 that Gurule had been named to fill the Anchorage post, left vacant when Gary Carlson left the company in August. Gurule, who spent 19 years with ARCO, including management positions at Prudhoe Bay and Kuparuk, was most recently chairman of the board and chief executive officer of Virginia Indonesia Co.

Gurule said he is “going through all of our properties, all of our assets,” to determine what prospects look good for drilling and where the company wants to defer work, where it should take on partners and where it should drill itself.

And the company just acquired two exploration licenses in the Susitna basin, he said, an indication the company plans to continue exploration in the state.

Field study under way for Redoubt

Production from the Redoubt Shoal field has been a disappointment, but a field study under way in Anchorage will help the company understand the reservoir and produce new reserves estimates, he said, and a drilling review should identify the most cost-effective ways to drill at the Cook Inlet field, where Forest in 2000 set the first new platform since the late 1980s.

“Redoubt, obviously, is producing less than what we had expected,” Gurule said. Forest’s “concern is that we understand the reservoir, that we understand the producing mechanism.” That field study is on schedule, he said, so that by the end of the year, when reserve estimates have to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Forest will have a new determination of what it believes the Redoubt Reserves to be.

The field study includes “reevaluating the geology and the geologic model,” information which will go into a reservoir model to help the company determine how many wells to drill into the reservoir, whether or not to waterflood, what recovery the company can expect, “given the wells that we have,” and what recovery could be expected if more wells are drilled.

Seventh well being drilled

Six wells have been drilled at Redoubt Shoal: Four are producing oil, one is producing gas and one has been suspended because of collapsed casing. A seventh well is being drilled now.

All of the wells are directional, drilled from the platform in shallower water to the structure in the deeper channel in Cook Inlet. True vertical depth of the wells (vertical distance to the surface) is about 12,000 feet, Gurule said, but the measured depth (length of the well bore) is as much as 20,000 feet.

Work is also under way, Gurule said, to minimize the drilling costs at Redoubt.

This is a typical drilling assessment, he said, and involves comparing drilling costs at the Redoubt wells interval by interval, to ensure that we’re “applying the best practices that we’ve discovered throughout all of the wells that we’ve drilled to date on the Redoubt structure, as well as using information from Unocal, who’s been drilling in the inlet for a number of years.”

Three exploration licenses

On the exploration side, Forest has three exploration licenses in Alaska: one in the Copper River basin and two, just awarded by the state, in the Susitna basin. Gurule said the company is “looking at some activities now in the Copper River,” determining how the company might go forward in that area, where a five-year license was awarded in 2000.

Some seismic has been shot there, and Gurule said Forest will shoot more seismic and also do some reinterpretation of the seismic the company already has.

The goal, he said, is to determine if there are any oil plays, because Copper River’s location is an issue.

It is “far from infrastructure. So, if it’s oil, you’re close to the Taps system. If it’s gas, where’s your market?”

Forest is just starting to look at what it will do on the Susitna basin licenses.

Cook Inlet exploration acreage

Forest has extensive acreage in the Cook Inlet basin, and Gurule said he is “going through all of our properties, all of our assets, to determine what looks good for us to drill, what looks like something that we’ll want to lay off… Where will we take partners? Where will we drill ourselves? Where do we want to explore?”

No jack-up rig in 2004

Asked if Forest would bring a jackup rig into Cook Inlet, Gurule said, “it is too early to tell.”

But, he said, “if we’re going to have a jack-up in the inlet next year, we almost need to have that under contract now.” And there is no jack-up under contract now.

“Where we’re at today is looking at all those prospects. Determining what additional work we need to do, determining whether we take partners in some, none or all of those prospects.” Forest is also talking to other operators in the inlet to see who would be interested in partnering on a jack-up rig, “to share the costs of mobilization and demob of the jack-up rig.”

All of that, Gurule said, takes time, “so we’re not in a position to be able to contract for a rig at this point, which almost clearly says there won’t be a rig here next year.”

Future for Alaska

In spite of its litigation difficulties over Redoubt, which delayed getting the project online, Gurule said Forest is not discouraged about operating in Alaska.

“I would say it’s the opposite. We are encouraged, in Alaska, given how favorably oil and gas companies are treated by the Legislature, by the current governor. I would say the environment in Alaska is friendly.”

There is a “differential quality to operate in Alaska” compared to the Gulf of Mexico or maybe the south Texas coastal area, he said.

“I just think the standards we’re held to are much higher here. There’s no doubt about it.”

It’s a different standard in Alaska, but Gurule said he doesn’t “view that as discouraging to what we’re doing in Alaska. It’s the environment that we’re operating in, and I accept that. And we hold ourselves to the higher standard.”

As for the future, Gurule said he sees Forest “growing in Alaska. I see us looking at all of our assets and all of our resources, and making sure that we have the right resources that we need to face the challenges that we’re facing in Alaska, so that we can grow profitably.”

That’s what he’s doing now, Gurule said, making sure the company has the resources it needs to grow profitably.

“But that’s what makes it fun, in my opinion: Forest didn’t hire me to come and be the custodian of what is already here.”





Forest drilling, evaluating Redoubt; Cosmopolitan well still being tested

Kristen Nelson

Petroleum News editor-in-chief

Forest Oil updated analysts on its Cook Inlet, Alaska, Redoubt Shoal development as part of a third-quarter conference call Nov. 5. The company said capital expenditures for Alaska have dropped from $7 million a month in the first quarter of the year to $3 million a month in the third quarter.

Craig Clark, the company’s president and chief executive officer, said the rig on the Osprey platform at Redoubt has been moved, for the first time, from one leg to the next. “We spud and are drilling the Redoubt 7 and right now we’re around 13,700 feet,” Clark said. The well is expected to reach a total depth of 16,300 feet later in November.

Current production from four wells at Redoubt is 2,000 to 2,500 barrels per day, he said, down from peak production rates of some 4,000 bpd. The Redoubt No. 1 well is undergoing pump diagnostic work and the electrical submersible pump may be pulled after the No. 7 or No. 8 wells are finished.

“On the southern end of Cook Inlet, the Cosmo prospect, we still see production test rates from the Hemlock … at about 500 to 550 barrels of oil a day,” he said. Forest is a working interest owner in the ConocoPhillips Alaska operated Cosmopolitan exploration unit.

Three-year drilling contract ends in November

Clark said Forest had a three-year drilling rig contract at Redoubt which runs out the middle of November. The company will then go month-to-month.

After Redoubt No. 7 is drilled, the company could do remedial work on wells on the other leg (where the first wells were drilled), drill more producers or drill some injectors.

“But certainly, I’m not going to put a lot more money into it with the drilling rig driving the program. We now have options which we never had before with that rig contract,” Clark said.

Redoubt Shoal is being assessed now, and Clark said that involved waiting for 3-D streamer and bottom cable seismic data to be reprocessed and interpreted. He also said he wanted “some new faces to take a look at it with Leonard (Gurule, the new head of Forest’s Alaska operations).” Forest is also working with third-party engineers on the model and reserve estimates, “and we used their reserve numbers in the past, and we want them to reach agreement so that it’s a one-time evaluation.”

Then there is current drilling: Clark said that results from the No. 7 well could tell Forest “something different” about the No. 1 and No. 2 wells, and if results are encouraging, “it may compel us to feel better about those two wells, which are high on the structure — our best oil wells — and do something with their rates in terms of stimulation.”


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