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Vol. 19, No. 11 Week of March 16, 2014
Providing coverage of Bakken oil and gas

Exactly how volatile?

Canadian transport investigators put Bakken crude on par with unleaded gasoline

Gary Park

For Petroleum News Bakken

Laboratory tests show the Bakken crude that exploded in last July’s Quebec train derailment was more volatile than listed and had qualities similar to that of unleaded gasoline, the Transportation Safety Board of Canada reported.

The Canadian government agency drew the conclusion from a battery of tests on crude oil in the nine undamaged rail cars at Lac-Megantic and from cars on another train that carried the same type of crude.

The full analysis is available as TSB Laboratory Report LP 148/2013.

The findings add to a growing body of evidence that crude from the Bakken formation in North Dakota, Montana, Saskatchewan and Manitoba is so volatile that it is more likely to explode in an accident, as happened at Lac-Megantic, where 47 people died and 40 buildings were destroyed.

Incorrect documentation

The TSB reinforced its earlier report that crude on the Lac-Megantic train had been incorrectly documented as less volatile Packing Group III when it should have been categorized as Packing Group II.

It said the samples collected were consistent with light, sweet crude, with volatility comparable with that of condensate or a gasoline product.

The TSB said the lower flashpoint of the crude partly explained why it ignited so quickly once the tank cars were punctured.

The flashpoint refers to the temperature at which the crude gives off enough vapor to ignite in air.

“It is apparent that the occurrence crude oil’s flashpoint is similar to that of unleaded gasoline,” the report said.

A recent Wall Street Journal analysis of test results for crude from a number of different locations said Bakken crude generally has a higher vapor pressure than more traditional crudes — a conclusion similar to that derived from the TSB tests.

The report said the Lac-Megantic crude was “readily ignitable ... multiple sources of ignition were present at the derailment site, therefore all the conditions required for ignition to occur were present.”

All crude to be tested

The Canadian and U.S. governments have ordered companies to test all crude being shipped by rail to ensure it is accurately classified, while the U.S. took the added step of banning companies from classifying crude in the least dangerous classification, even if test results suggested it was not highly volatile.

U.S. regulators have since further amended their order by requiring shippers to measure the flashpoint and boiling point of the crude they are shipping. However, they would not have to measure crude specifications such as vapor pressure and corrosivity as long as they are well acquainted with the characteristics of the crude.

The TSB investigation into Lac-Megantic is continuing.

Meanwhile, there is a growing clamor from railroad industry leaders to change or replace older DOT-111 cars, with investor Warren Buffet saying it is clear that tank cars carrying crude need to be updated, echoing the view of Hunter Harrison, chief executive officer of Canadian Pacific Railway.

BNSF Railway, a unit of Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, announced in late February that it plans to buy its own fleet of up to 5,000 tank cars with safety features that surpass the industry standards adopted two years ago.

Buffett said on a CNBC program that crude from the Bakken in North Dakota and Montana and the Eagle Ford in south Texas has proven more volatile than expected and that the volatility may have contributed to several fiery derailments in the past eight months.

Canadian Pacific and Canadian National railways decided in February to charger higher rates for customers who move crude in cars built before October 2011, but BNSF has declined to comment on whether it will change its pricing.



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A perspective on Bakken crude volatility

The volatility of Bakken crude oil has had much attention recently with implications that Bakken crude is more volatile that other domestic crude oils, and hence more dangerous to transport. To get a better perspective on just how volatile Bakken crude really is, Petroleum News Bakken surveyed some reported vapor pressure values for North Dakota Light crude along with six other benchmark crudes commonly transported and refined in the U.S. and Canada. The survey found that North Dakota Light does, in fact, have some of the highest reported vapor pressures, but is not alone in that category.

Petroleum News Bakken looked at a minimum of two reported Reid Vapor Pressures, RVPs, (named after the person who developed the test method) for each of the seven crudes selected for the survey and found that North Dakota Sweet, along with samples from Eagle Ford, Brent and West Texas Intermediate crudes, all had RVPs at or above 9 pounds per square inch, psi (see table), a high vapor pressure for crude oil. In contrast, Alaska North Slope, Western Canadian Select and Light Louisiana Sweet have reported RVPs in the 2 to 6 psi range.

Scattered data

While the RVP data evaluated in the limited survey allow for a general ranking of the volatility of the seven crude oils, the data are scattered. The highest RVP found for the seven crudes was 9.7 psi reported by Capline Pipeline Crude Oil Quality service for both North Dakota Sweet and Eagle Ford crudes.

However, the Capline data include results on four separate Eagle Ford samples that ranged from the high of 9.7 psi to a low of 6.5 psi with an average of 8.34 psi. Likewise, five samples of North Dakota Sweet had RVPs ranging from the high of 9.7 psi to a low of 5.94 psi with a slightly lower average of 8.04.

The next lower RVPs were for Brent crude. ExxonMobil published an RVP of 9.2 psi, right up there with North Dakota Sweet and Eagle Ford, but Total published a much lower Brent RVP of 5.5 psi. And within that range, Capline reported two other Brent RVPs of 5.61 and 6.72 psi. Those four RPVs averaged 6.76 psi.

Navigator Energy Services published an RVP for West Texas Intermediate of 9 psi and Magellan Midstream published a West Texas Intermediate RVP of 8 psi, both ranking up with North Dakota Sweet, Eagle Ford and Brent samples.

On the heavier crude side, Petroleum News Bakken found similar RVPs for Western Canadian Select and Alaska North Slope ranging from 4.63 to 6.43 psi (see table).

But the lowest RVPs found in the cursory survey were for Light Louisiana Sweet. Capline has reported results on 15 separate Light Louisiana Sweet samples with RVPs ranging from 2.35 to 4.15 psi with an average of 3.33 psi.

Tesoro puts Bakken RVP above 12 psi

In addition to the published RVP data that Petroleum News Bakken reviewed, Tesoro Logistics presented information in a March 2013 Crude Oil Quality Association meeting in San Antonio, Texas, indicating the RVP of Bakken crude delivered to its Anacortes, Wash., refinery increased going into the winter of 2012-2013 and exceeded 12 psi.

Specifically, the data presented indicated the Bakken crude RVP at Anacortes increased from the 8 to 10 psi range in September 2012 to over 12 psi in December 2012 and into January 2013. Although not quantified, the values exceeding 12 psi are the highest values Petroleum News Bakken found for Bakken crude.

—Mike Ellerd